Choctaw leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Choctaw typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Choctaw, ~24% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Choctaw compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Choctaw leans more Republican than 18 of 40 neighbors.
Choctaw runs about 8 points more Democratic than Oklahoma as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Choctaw. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Choctaw leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Choctaw, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Choctaw votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 31%, modestly above the Oklahoma average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Choctaw are family households, above 83% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Choctaw, OK sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Choctaw looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Choctaw own their home, about 13 points above the Oklahoma average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nicoma Park, OK R+29
- Harrah, OK R+52
- Midwest City, OK D+7
- Spencer, OK D+37
- Newalla, OK R+51
- Jones, OK R+38
- Mcloud, OK R+58
- Del City, OK D+6
- Forest Park, OK D+43
- Valley Brook, OK R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mead Valley, CA Even
- Clive, IA D+10
- Old Jamestown, MO D+64
- Charleston, IL R+9
- La Canada Flintridge, CA D+19
- East Amherst, NY D+6
- Homewood, IL D+60
- Hermosa Beach, CA D+37
- Radford, VA R+7
- Newton Center, MA D+60
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.