Cleveland leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Cleveland typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cleveland, ~14% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cleveland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cleveland leans more Republican than 8 of 35 neighbors.
Cleveland runs about 31 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cleveland. The north side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+84), a spread of about 85 points.
Why Cleveland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cleveland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Cleveland hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Texas average of 26%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Cleveland runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Cleveland are family households, above 88% of cities.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Cleveland, TX does.
Why turnout in Cleveland looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cleveland is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 10 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 74% of adults in Cleveland have completed high school, below 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Cleveland, TX R+44
- Plum Grove, TX R+38
- Splendora, TX R+60
- Evergreen, TX R+87
- Patton Village, TX R+50
- Roman Forest, TX R+45
- Macedonia, TX R+86
- Woodbranch, TX R+52
- Shepherd, TX R+57
- Dolen, TX R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Porter, TX R+30
- Venice, CA D+57
- Irwin, PA R+28
- Papillion, NE R+11
- Coachella, CA D+22
- Los Lunas, NM R+11
- Brooksville, FL R+42
- Los Gatos, CA D+32
- Bloomfield, NJ D+39
- North Brunswick, NJ D+25
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.