Shepherd is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Shepherd typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shepherd, ~14% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shepherd compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shepherd leans more Republican than 13 of 35 neighbors.
Shepherd runs about 43 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Shepherd. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+49), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Shepherd leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shepherd, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 7% of adults in Shepherd hold a bachelor's degree, about 19 points below the Texas average of 26%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Shepherd runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Shepherd are family households, above 91% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Shepherd, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Shepherd looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Shepherd is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 9 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Urbana, TX R+65
- Dolen, TX R+74
- North Cleveland, TX R+44
- Goodrich, TX R+55
- Coldspring, TX R+57
- Romayor, TX R+72
- Evergreen, TX R+87
- Ace, TX R+65
- Cleveland, TX R+44
- Providence, TX R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Nicholls, GA R+44
- Mount Healthy, OH D+36
- Homeland Park, SC R+12
- Berlin, PA R+53
- Burns, TN R+52
- Ramseur, NC R+51
- Poolesville, MD D+12
- Cherry Hills Village, CO Even
- Sand Lake, MI R+43
- Oxford, FL R+39
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.