Clovis leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Clovis typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clovis, ~29% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clovis compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Clovis leans more Republican than 10 of 37 neighbors.
Clovis runs about 32 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Clovis is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Clovis. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+21), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Clovis leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clovis, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Clovis votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 96%, far above the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Clovis runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Clovis, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Clovis looks the way it does
Turnout in Clovis sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fresno, CA Even
- Old Fig Garden, CA D+10
- Sanger, CA R+9
- Friant, CA R+40
- Del Rey, CA R+5
- Fowler, CA R+13
- Bonadelle Ranchos-Madera Ranchos, CA R+37
- Minkler, CA R+46
- Prather, CA R+46
- Rolinda, CA R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fairfield, CA D+22
- Tuscaloosa, AL D+24
- Vista, CA D+10
- Warren, MI D+10
- Gresham, OR D+15
- Pflugerville, TX D+28
- Rock Hill, SC Even
- Cambridge, MA D+74
- Chico, CA D+15
- East Los Angeles, CA D+41
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.