Warren leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Warren typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warren, ~38% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warren compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warren leans more Democratic than 48 of 87 neighbors.
Warren runs about 12 points more Democratic than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warren. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+34) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Warren leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warren, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Warren live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Warren have never been married, above 92% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Warren, MI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Warren looks the way it does
Turnout in Warren sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Center Line, MI D+16
- Madison Heights, MI D+9
- Hazel Park, MI D+18
- Eastpointe, MI D+48
- Roseville, MI D+7
- Fraser, MI R+10
- Ferndale, MI D+53
- Pleasant Ridge, MI D+49
- Highland Park, MI D+85
- Hamtramck, MI D+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vista, CA D+10
- Pflugerville, TX D+28
- Rock Hill, SC Even
- Fairfield, CA D+22
- Cambridge, MA D+74
- East Los Angeles, CA D+41
- Clovis, CA R+12
- Ventura, CA D+22
- Tuscaloosa, AL D+24
- Gresham, OR D+15
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.