Coaldale leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Coaldale typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Coaldale, ~21% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Coaldale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Coaldale leans more Republican than 69 of 166 neighbors.
Coaldale runs about 34 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Coaldale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Coaldale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in Coaldale hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 86% of residents in Coaldale drive to work alone, above 84% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Coaldale, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Coaldale looks the way it does
Turnout in Coaldale sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lansford, PA R+25
- Summit Hill, PA R+30
- Hometown, PA R+38
- Tamaqua, PA R+38
- Nesquehoning, PA R+34
- Andreas, PA R+52
- Hudsondale, PA R+53
- Junedale, PA R+53
- Quakake, PA R+39
- Tresckow, PA R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dansville, MI R+36
- Locust Fork, AL R+84
- Concho, OK R+39
- Farrandville, MI R+31
- Crocker, MO R+68
- Glide, OR R+30
- Eudora, AR D+35
- Varnell, GA R+62
- Alba, TX R+78
- Williams, OR R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.