Cuba leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Cuba typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cuba, ~29% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cuba compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cuba leans more Democratic than 2 of 5 neighbors.
Cuba runs about 7 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cuba. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+27) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Cuba leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cuba, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 57% of adults in Cuba have never been married, far above similar-sized cities (around 25%).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Cuba, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Cuba looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cuba is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 17 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 40% of adults in Cuba report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Cuba sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Whitehorse, NM D+24
- La Jara, NM R+3
- Regina, NM R+2
- Encinal, NM D+29
- Counselor, NM D+19
- Seven Springs, NM R+2
- Jemez Springs, NM R+3
- Gallina, NM D+17
- Lindrith, NM R+5
- Pueblo Pintado, NM D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Honeoye, NY R+14
- Steeleville, IL R+50
- Anchorage, KY R+2
- Bradford, AR R+73
- Hawi, HI D+27
- Bangor, WI R+15
- Hayden, CO R+37
- Willards, MD R+42
- Van Vleck, TX R+37
- Platte, SD R+66
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.