Encinal leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Encinal typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Encinal, ~29% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Encinal compares
Encinal sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable cities nearby.
Encinal runs about 23 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Encinal. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+46) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+24), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Encinal leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Encinal, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 60% of adults in Encinal have never been married, far above similar-sized cities (around 27%).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Encinal, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Encinal looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Encinal is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 35%, about 23 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 50% of adults in Encinal report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in Encinal have completed high school, below 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Whitehorse, NM D+24
- Cuba, NM D+13
- Seboyeta, NM R+10
- San Mateo, NM R+8
- San Ysidro, NM D+35
- Seven Lakes, NM D+29
- Paguate, NM D+45
- Jemez Pueblo, NM D+51
- Pueblo Pintado, NM D+24
- Zia Pueblo, NM D+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kendall, KS R+78
- Mansfield, MN R+35
- Changewater, NJ R+25
- Hatton, WA R+61
- Holder, IL R+30
- St. Mary, NE R+52
- Chapmans, OH R+59
- Shore Oaks, NY R+33
- Copley, WV R+66
- Vernon, CA D+24
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.