Dahlia leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Dahlia typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dahlia, ~30% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dahlia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dahlia leans more Republican than 16 of 19 neighbors.
Dahlia runs about 13 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Dahlia is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dahlia. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+40) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+51), a spread of about 90 points.
Why Dahlia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dahlia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dahlia votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Dahlia runs about 13 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Dahlia, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dahlia looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Dahlia is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Villanueva, NM D+39
- Anton Chico, NM D+12
- Sena, NM D+40
- Gonzales Ranch, NM D+27
- Pueblo, NM D+31
- La Loma, NM Even
- Upper Dilia, NM D+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lakeview, ID R+46
- Kemp, KY R+69
- Lake Jem, FL R+47
- Truscott, TX R+80
- Charter Oak, MO R+73
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.