Dale leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 39% of adults in Dale typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dale, ~16% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dale leans more Republican than 1 of 155 neighbors.
Dale runs about 14 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Dale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dale votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 96%, far above the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Dale, PA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Dale looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Dale is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 18 points below the Pennsylvania average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 59% of households in Dale rent, compared to around 26% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Johnstown, PA R+21
- Lorain, PA R+25
- Ferndale, PA R+26
- Southmont, PA R+13
- Elim, PA R+23
- Geistown, PA R+30
- Westmont, PA R+16
- East Conemaugh, PA R+24
- Parkhill, PA R+52
- Ingleside, PA R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Langley, KY R+60
- Startex, SC Even
- Alma Center, WI R+36
- Hot Springs, NC R+38
- Turtle Creek, WV R+57
- East Durham, NY R+27
- Ireton, IA R+78
- Weogufka, AL R+77
- Hygiene, CO D+29
- Leo, SC R+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.