Dover leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Dover typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dover, ~22% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dover compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dover leans more Republican than 15 of 29 neighbors.
Dover runs about 30 points more Republican than Kansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dover. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+55) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+41), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Dover leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dover, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Dover are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Dover, KS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Dover looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Dover is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Dover own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Dover have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Auburn, KS R+40
- Willard, KS R+44
- Maple Hill, KS R+54
- Eskridge, KS R+53
- Silver Lake, KS R+40
- Harveyville, KS R+54
- Kiro, KS R+40
- Wakarusa, KS R+35
- Rossville, KS R+45
- Topeka, KS D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shoto, WI R+31
- Papa, HI D+14
- Cochecton, NY R+7
- Lynnville, KY R+66
- Woodrow, MN R+54
- Drewryville, VA R+20
- Doylestown, WI R+27
- Old Chatham, NY D+28
- Hickman, TN R+64
- Mattaponi, VA R+32
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.