Papa, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Papa

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Papa leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.

 

About 80% of adults in Papa typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Papa, ~45% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Papa compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Papa leans more Democratic than 5 of 9 neighbors.

Papa runs about 9 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Papa. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+16) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+6), a spread of about 11 points.

Why Papa leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Papa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 42% of adults in Papa hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 28%.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Papa, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Papa looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Papa own their home, about 29 points above the Hawaii average of 66%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.