Dover leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Dover typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dover, ~26% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dover compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dover leans more Republican than 24 of 42 neighbors.
Dover runs about 5 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dover. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+35) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+49), a spread of about 83 points.
Why Dover leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Dover. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Dover, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Dover looks the way it does
Turnout in Dover sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Scotland Fork, MS R+20
- Bentonia, MS R+40
- Nod, MS R+18
- Tinsley, MS R+64
- Little Yazoo, MS R+23
- Berryville, MS R+19
- Oil City, MS R+51
- Virlilia, MS R+33
- Flora, MS R+18
- Valley, MS R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Carson, ND R+72
- Foster Pond, IL R+50
- Sandstone, WV R+54
- Skidmore, MO R+66
- Richardson, WI R+46
- Crowfoot, NJ R+22
- Ladoga, WI R+48
- Noack, TX R+58
- Turner, MT R+53
- Wealthy, TX R+73
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.