Dufur leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Dufur typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dufur, ~16% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dufur compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dufur leans more Republican than 16 of 21 neighbors.
Dufur runs about 60 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Dufur is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Dufur leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dufur, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dufur votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Dufur runs about 60 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Dufur, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dufur looks the way it does
Turnout in Dufur sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Friend, OR R+44
- The Dalles, OR R+10
- Dallesport, WA R+33
- Chenoweth, OR R+20
- Wishram, WA R+39
- Tygh Valley, OR R+42
- Pine Grove, OR R+18
- Grass Valley, OR R+63
- Wamic, OR R+42
- Mosier, OR R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dayton, IA R+42
- Scooba, MS D+27
- Raleigh, FL R+39
- Teton, ID R+69
- Chaseburg, WI R+19
- Hubbell, MI R+22
- Geneva-on-the-Lake, OH R+36
- Lancaster, MO R+64
- Center Point, IN R+60
- Stone, WI D+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.