Raleigh leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Raleigh typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Raleigh, ~22% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Raleigh compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Raleigh leans more Republican than 17 of 30 neighbors.
Raleigh runs about 26 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Raleigh. The southwest side is the most split-leaning (R+53) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 51 points.
Why Raleigh leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Raleigh. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Raleigh, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Raleigh looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Raleigh is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Williston, FL R+39
- Peach Orchard, FL R+4
- East Bronson, FL R+46
- Bronson, FL R+57
- Williston Highlands, FL R+64
- Archer, FL R+19
- Montbrook, FL R+54
- Wacahoota, FL R+31
- Half Moon, FL R+39
- Tacoma, FL R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hubbell, MI R+22
- Lancaster, MO R+64
- Scooba, MS D+27
- Chaseburg, WI R+19
- Dufur, OR R+45
- Stone, WI D+19
- Dayton, IA R+42
- Center Point, IN R+60
- Oak Flat, TX R+66
- Geneva-on-the-Lake, OH R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.