Dundalk leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Dundalk typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dundalk, ~27% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dundalk compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dundalk leans more Republican than 96 of 131 neighbors.
Dundalk runs about 36 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Dundalk is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dundalk. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Dundalk leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dundalk, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dundalk votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 91%, far above the Maryland average of 43%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Dundalk runs against the grain of Maryland, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Dundalk, MD does.
Why turnout in Dundalk looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Dundalk is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 34% of households in Dundalk rent, above 89% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in Dundalk report food insecurity, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Essex, MD D+10
- Edgemere, MD R+26
- Rosedale, MD D+28
- Fort Howard, MD R+27
- Rossville, MD D+45
- Curtis Bay, MD D+12
- Brooklyn, MD D+59
- Overlea, MD D+24
- Middle River, MD D+14
- Brooklyn Park, MD D+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Manassas, VA D+10
- Clayton, NC R+8
- Ewa Beach, HI D+7
- Puyallup, WA Even
- Cheektowaga, NY D+11
- Ames, IA D+27
- Great Falls, MT R+20
- Eastvale, CA Even
- Huntersville, NC D+6
- East Orange, NJ D+80
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.