El Paso is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 56% of adults in El Paso typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in El Paso, ~10% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How El Paso compares
Among cities within 25 miles, El Paso leans more Republican than 24 of 51 neighbors.
El Paso runs about 36 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why El Paso leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for El Paso, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 93% of residents in El Paso drive to work alone, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; El Paso, AR sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in El Paso looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 4% of homes in El Paso have more than one occupant per room, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Barrentine Corner, AR R+67
- Naylor, AR R+69
- Floyd, AR R+70
- Romance, AR R+72
- Mount Vernon, AR R+70
- Otto, AR R+67
- Vilonia, AR R+63
- Beebe, AR R+58
- Austin, AR R+57
- Cabot, AR R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Tocoi, FL R+63
- Lindley, NY R+45
- Castle Creek, NY R+29
- Clinchco, VA R+66
- Munday, TX R+56
- Etna, WY R+59
- Keosauqua, IA R+51
- Irwinton, GA D+38
- Olivebridge, NY D+25
- Huson, MT R+29
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.