Castle Creek, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Castle Creek

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Castle Creek leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.

 

About 75% of adults in Castle Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Castle Creek, ~27% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Castle Creek compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Castle Creek leans more Republican than 20 of 98 neighbors.

Castle Creek runs about 41 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Castle Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Castle Creek. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 24 points.

Why Castle Creek leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Castle Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Castle Creek votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Castle Creek runs about 41 points more Republican.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Castle Creek, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Castle Creek looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Castle Creek own their home, about 14 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.