Elizabeth leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 36% of adults in Elizabeth typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elizabeth, ~22% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elizabeth compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elizabeth leans more Democratic than 180 of 247 neighbors.
Elizabeth runs about 12 points more Democratic than New Jersey as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elizabeth. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+26) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+6), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Elizabeth leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elizabeth, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 99% of residents in Elizabeth live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in Elizabeth have never been married, above 97% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Elizabeth, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Elizabeth looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elizabeth is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 28%, about 18 points above the New Jersey average of 10%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 74% of households in Elizabeth rent, compared to around 38% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in Elizabeth report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hillside, NJ D+51
- Roselle, NJ D+58
- Roselle Park, NJ D+6
- Linden, NJ D+22
- Union, NJ D+32
- Irvington, NJ D+78
- Kenilworth, NJ R+22
- Bayonne, NJ D+7
- Cranford, NJ D+16
- Maplewood, NJ D+76
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hampton, VA D+39
- Lansing, MI D+38
- Denton, TX D+9
- Murrieta, CA R+14
- Lakewood, NJ R+74
- Fullerton, CA D+11
- York, PA D+4
- West Valley City, UT D+8
- Olympia, WA D+31
- Miramar, FL D+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.