Elm Hall leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Elm Hall typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elm Hall, ~19% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elm Hall compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elm Hall leans more Republican than 47 of 58 neighbors.
Elm Hall runs about 47 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Elm Hall leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elm Hall, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Elm Hall hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the Michigan average of 26%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 87% of residents in Elm Hall drive to work alone, above 88% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Elm Hall, MI sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Elm Hall looks the way it does
Turnout in Elm Hall sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Riverdale, MI R+49
- Vestaburg, MI R+51
- Strickland, MI R+49
- Sumner, MI R+48
- Elwell, MI R+49
- Crystal, MI R+46
- Cedar Lake, MI R+49
- Mcbrides, MI R+51
- Alma, MI R+14
- McBride, MI R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pinehurst, GA R+34
- Rose Valley, WA R+28
- Viola, DE R+33
- Morales, TX R+73
- Latimer, IA R+51
- Lily Pond, GA R+74
- Pultneyville, NY R+17
- Natalbany, LA R+47
- Sugar Tree Ridge, OH R+68
- Baggs, WY R+76
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.