Elmira Heights leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Elmira Heights typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elmira Heights, ~23% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elmira Heights compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elmira Heights leans more Republican than 21 of 111 neighbors.
Elmira Heights runs about 32 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Elmira Heights is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Elmira Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elmira Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elmira Heights votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 81%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Elmira Heights runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Elmira Heights, NY does.
Why turnout in Elmira Heights looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 42% of households in Elmira Heights rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Elmira, NY D+3
- West Elmira, NY D+2
- Horseheads, NY R+19
- Southport, NY R+20
- Pine City, NY R+33
- Big Flats, NY R+15
- Breesport, NY R+38
- Sullivanville, NY R+35
- North Chemung, NY R+52
- Pine Valley, NY R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Granby, MO R+63
- Woodlawn, OH D+63
- Horse Shoe, NC R+19
- Marienville, PA R+5
- Kevil, KY R+59
- Otterbein, OH R+4
- Sewanee, TN R+34
- St. Bernard, LA R+52
- Lake Park, NC R+14
- Walsenburg, CO R+7
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.