Espanola leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Espanola typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Espanola, ~39% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Espanola compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Espanola leans more Democratic than 16 of 51 neighbors.
Espanola runs about 12 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Espanola. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+27) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+10), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Espanola leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Espanola, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 52% of residents in Espanola live in densely developed areas, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in Espanola have never been married, above 93% of cities.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Espanola, NM sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Espanola looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Espanola is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Santa Cruz, NM D+25
- El Rancho, NM D+20
- Santa Clara Pueblo, NM D+44
- La Puebla, NM D+24
- Ohkay Owingeh, NM D+33
- San Juan Pueblo, NM D+28
- Pueblito, NM D+23
- Chamita, NM D+23
- Chimayo, NM D+28
- La Mesilla, NM D+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Belchertown, MA D+24
- Bolivar, MO R+54
- Girard, OH R+8
- Boulder City, NV R+17
- Thomson, GA D+3
- Astoria, OR D+14
- Colonial Park, PA D+18
- West Park, FL D+49
- West University Place, TX D+7
- Cody, WY R+44
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.