El Rancho leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 66% of adults in El Rancho typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in El Rancho, ~40% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How El Rancho compares
Among cities within 25 miles, El Rancho leans more Democratic than 19 of 53 neighbors.
El Rancho runs about 14 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why El Rancho leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for El Rancho, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 47% of adults in El Rancho have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 27%). Dense areas vote Democratic, and El Rancho sits in the top fifth on density (about 29%, above 80% of cities).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; El Rancho, NM sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in El Rancho looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. El Rancho is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Espanola, NM D+18
- Ohkay Owingeh, NM D+33
- Santa Cruz, NM D+25
- San Juan Pueblo, NM D+28
- Pueblito, NM D+23
- Chamita, NM D+23
- Santa Clara Pueblo, NM D+44
- La Puebla, NM D+24
- Guique, NM D+17
- Hernandez, NM D+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Requa, CA R+13
- Dell, MN R+46
- Stanhope, MO R+60
- Stanton, PA R+67
- Huachuca Terrace, AZ D+52
- Max, NE R+79
- North Elmore, AL R+61
- Green Road, KY R+78
- Eaton, ID R+62
- Allouez, MI R+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.