Estaca leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Estaca typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Estaca, ~37% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Estaca compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Estaca leans more Democratic than 9 of 53 neighbors.
Estaca runs about 10 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Estaca leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Estaca, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 34% of adults in Estaca have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 25%).
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Estaca, NM sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Estaca looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Estaca is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 5 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Los Luceros, NM D+15
- Alcalde, NM D+16
- La Villita, NM D+14
- Guique, NM D+17
- Lyden, NM D+15
- Pueblito, NM D+23
- Velarde, NM D+15
- San Juan Pueblo, NM D+28
- Chamita, NM D+23
- Hernandez, NM D+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cobb, KY R+63
- Harrisburg, AL R+31
- Kellum, AR R+68
- Gleason, PA R+66
- Pointe Aux Barques, MI R+26
- Bucktown, MD R+53
- Coffee Creek, MT R+57
- Broadwell, IL R+49
- Glen Savage, PA R+71
- Sunrise, LA D+4
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.