Velarde leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Velarde typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Velarde, ~37% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Velarde compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Velarde leans more Democratic than 5 of 55 neighbors.
Velarde runs about 9 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Velarde leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Velarde, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 32% of adults in Velarde hold a bachelor's degree, above 78% of cities.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Velarde, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Velarde looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Velarde is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lyden, NM D+15
- Los Luceros, NM D+15
- La Junta, NM D+13
- Alcalde, NM D+16
- Estaca, NM D+16
- La Villita, NM D+14
- Guique, NM D+17
- Pueblito, NM D+23
- Dixon, NM D+11
- San Juan Pueblo, NM D+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Greenville, CA R+22
- Marilla, NY R+36
- Redhouse, KY R+41
- Alorton, IL D+82
- Dongola, IL R+55
- Booneville, IA R+16
- Castle Dale, UT R+72
- Dawson, IL R+46
- Ponderosa Park, CO R+40
- Port Henry, NY R+24
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.