Fargo is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Fargo typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fargo, ~34% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fargo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fargo leans more Democratic than 38 of 39 neighbors.
Fargo runs about 39 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while Fargo is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fargo. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Fargo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fargo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fargo votes against the grain of North Dakota. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while Fargo runs about 39 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Fargo, ND sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fargo looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Fargo have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Prairie Rose, ND R+15
- Moorhead, MN D+6
- West Fargo, ND R+15
- Frontier, ND R+14
- Reiles Acres, ND R+37
- Dilworth, MN R+7
- Horace, ND R+34
- Wild Rice, ND R+31
- North River, ND R+23
- St. Benedict, ND R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Arvada, CO D+15
- Carrollton, TX D+8
- Lake Charles, LA R+6
- Myrtle Beach, SC R+24
- Beaumont, TX D+25
- Clearwater, FL R+3
- Norman, OK D+3
- Athens, GA D+32
- Pueblo, CO D+8
- Bend, OR D+16
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.