Moorhead leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Moorhead typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moorhead, ~41% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moorhead compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Moorhead is the most Democratic-leaning.
Politically, Moorhead sits close to the rest of Minnesota.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Moorhead. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+22) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Moorhead leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moorhead, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 83% of residents in Moorhead live in densely developed areas, about 47 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Moorhead sits in the top quarter (about 41%, above 88% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in Moorhead have never been married, above 94% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Moorhead, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Moorhead looks the way it does
Turnout in Moorhead sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dilworth, MN R+7
- Fargo, ND D+3
- Prairie Rose, ND R+15
- Frontier, ND R+14
- West Fargo, ND R+15
- Reiles Acres, ND R+37
- Sabin, MN R+28
- North River, ND R+23
- Wild Rice, ND R+31
- Glyndon, MN R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Eagle Pass, TX R+8
- University, FL D+34
- Morristown, NJ D+23
- Northville, MI D+6
- Palm Springs, CA D+37
- Prairieville, LA R+47
- Neenah, WI R+4
- Coppell, TX D+2
- Arlington, WA R+16
- Northport, AL R+35
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.