Ferndale leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Ferndale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ferndale, ~28% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ferndale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ferndale leans more Republican than 90 of 107 neighbors.
Ferndale runs about 42 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Ferndale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ferndale. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Ferndale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ferndale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ferndale votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Ferndale runs about 42 points more Republican.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Ferndale, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Ferndale looks the way it does
Turnout in Ferndale sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Liberty, NY R+5
- Harris, NY R+15
- Hurleyville, NY R+15
- Loomis, NY R+15
- Swan Lake, NY R+25
- Loch Sheldrake, NY R+10
- White Sulphur Springs, NY R+29
- Kiamesha Lake, NY R+16
- South Fallsburg, NY Even
- Maplewood, NY R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tomahawk, KY R+76
- Clark, CO R+5
- Greshamville, GA R+57
- Hayti, SD R+73
- Pisgah, MS R+79
- Garfield, WA R+48
- Phoenicia, NY D+37
- Lands End, SC R+6
- Hodges, AL R+86
- Nicholsville, MI R+38
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.