Kiamesha Lake leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Kiamesha Lake typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kiamesha Lake, ~27% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kiamesha Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kiamesha Lake leans more Republican than 60 of 121 neighbors.
Kiamesha Lake runs about 29 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Kiamesha Lake is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kiamesha Lake. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+28) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Kiamesha Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kiamesha Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kiamesha Lake votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 24%, modestly below the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Kiamesha Lake runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kiamesha Lake, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Kiamesha Lake looks the way it does
Turnout in Kiamesha Lake sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Thompsonville, NY R+11
- South Fallsburg, NY Even
- Monticello, NY D+13
- Harris, NY R+15
- Maplewood, NY R+15
- Fallsburg, NY R+4
- Glen Wild, NY R+20
- Woodridge, NY R+18
- Hurleyville, NY R+15
- Ferndale, NY R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Scanlon, MN R+10
- Blandford, MA R+12
- Stanton, IA R+46
- Grannis, AR R+66
- Melson, MD R+34
- Brackney, PA R+43
- Robins AFB, GA R+18
- Smyrna, TX R+80
- Palo, MI R+49
- Edgerton, MO R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.