Fernside is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Fernside typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fernside, ~65% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fernside compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Fernside leans more Democratic than 35 of 59 neighbors.
Fernside runs about 47 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Fernside leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fernside, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 64% of adults in Fernside hold a bachelor's degree, about 35 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Fernside, Alameda, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Fernside looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Fernside is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- East End, Alameda, CA D+65
- Jingletown, Oakland, CA D+55
- South Shore, Alameda, CA D+59
- Fruitvale Station, Oakland, CA D+52
- Gold Coast, Alameda, CA D+64
- Melrose, Oakland, CA D+59
- Reservoir Hills, Oakland, CA D+53
- Rancho San Antonio, Oakland, CA D+50
- Bay Farm Island, Alameda, CA D+51
- Coliseum, Oakland, CA D+59
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Mt Vernon Park, Lawrence, MA D+10
- Heights, Laredo, TX D+11
- Jingletown, Oakland, CA D+55
- Downtown Lansing, Lansing, MI D+57
- Horseshoe Park, Aurora, CO D+24
- Juneau Town, Milwaukee, WI D+48
- Sierra Montana, Surprise, AZ R+20
- Lind-Bohanon, Minneapolis, MN D+56
- Baden, St. Louis, MO D+83
- Vineyard, Escondido, CA D+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.