Flat Gap is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Flat Gap typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flat Gap, ~11% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flat Gap compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Flat Gap leans more Republican than 67 of 134 neighbors.
Flat Gap runs about 73 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Flat Gap is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Flat Gap leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Flat Gap, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Flat Gap, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 8% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Flat Gap runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Flat Gap, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Flat Gap looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Flat Gap own their home, about 15 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dewey, VA R+67
- Lipps, VA R+70
- Mayking, KY R+68
- Eolia, KY R+71
- Stephens, VA R+69
- Pound, VA R+48
- Seco, KY R+70
- Payne Gap, KY R+60
- Ermine, KY R+66
- Cromona, KY R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pillsbury, ND R+51
- Pueblo, NM D+31
- Neola, KS R+73
- Rivermont, VA R+56
- Walum, ND R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.