Ermine is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Ermine typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ermine, ~9% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ermine compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ermine leans more Republican than 55 of 144 neighbors.
Ermine runs about 35 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Ermine leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ermine, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Ermine, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 6% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the Kentucky average of 19%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Ermine, KY sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Ermine looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ermine is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 56% of households in Ermine rent, compared to around 25% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Ermine have completed high school, below 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Thornton, KY R+66
- Whitesburg, KY R+61
- Millstone, KY R+73
- Mayking, KY R+68
- Seco, KY R+70
- Neon, KY R+71
- Isom, KY R+65
- Fleming-Neon, KY R+67
- Jeremiah, KY R+64
- Deane, KY R+75
Cities with Similar Populations
- Batesville, TX D+8
- Verdi, TX R+59
- East Lemon, PA R+41
- North Clymer, NY R+55
- Hickory Valley, TN R+8
- Pulaski, GA R+31
- Bettsville, OH R+49
- Schram City, IL R+52
- Cecilia, LA Even
- Pala Alto, NC R+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.