Florence leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Florence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Florence, ~37% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Florence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Florence leans more Democratic than 28 of 44 neighbors.
Florence runs about 23 points more Democratic than South Carolina as a whole. South Carolina leans Republican overall, while Florence is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Florence. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+68) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 92 points.
Why Florence leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Florence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Florence is about 48%, about 24 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Florence have never been married, above 86% of cities. Florence runs against the grain of South Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Florence, SC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Florence looks the way it does
Turnout in Florence sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Quinby, SC D+62
- Ebenezer, SC R+34
- Danwood, SC R+23
- Crestview, SC D+29
- Effingham, SC R+20
- Peniel Crossroads, SC R+5
- Lewis Crossroads, SC R+7
- Timmonsville, SC Even
- Darlington, SC D+7
- Syracuse, SC R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Parker, CO R+10
- Citrus Heights, CA R+3
- Richmond, CA D+60
- Ashburn, VA D+23
- Greer, SC R+29
- Deerfield Beach, FL D+16
- Gardena, CA D+39
- Jonesboro, GA D+66
- Norristown, PA D+31
- Cleveland, TN R+44
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from South Carolina State Election Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.