Forest Chapel is a Republican stronghold. About 10% of voters here vote Democratic and 90% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Forest Chapel typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Forest Chapel, ~7% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Forest Chapel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Forest Chapel leans more Republican than 50 of 54 neighbors.
Forest Chapel runs about 66 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Forest Chapel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Forest Chapel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 76% of households in Forest Chapel are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Forest Chapel, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Forest Chapel looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Forest Chapel is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Razor, TX R+80
- Arthur City, TX R+77
- Emberson, TX R+78
- Gay, OK R+68
- Powderly, TX R+76
- Cavines, TX R+76
- Grant, OK R+65
- Goodland, OK R+58
- Sumner, TX R+77
Cities with Similar Populations
- Manorville, PA R+45
- Muldoon, TX R+68
- Gifford, SC D+6
- Cave, MO R+64
- Paint Rock, TX R+80
- McMillan, MS D+16
- Cutter, WI R+17
- Pelican, LA R+19
- New California, OH R+14
- South Pomfret, VT D+31
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.