New California leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 88% of adults in New California typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New California, ~38% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New California compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New California leans more Republican than 24 of 83 neighbors.
Politically, New California sits close to the rest of Ohio.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New California. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 41 points.
Why New California leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New California, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New California votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 24%, modestly below the Ohio average of 34%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 88% of households in New California are family households, above 98% of cities.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; New California, OH sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in New California looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New California is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in New California have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Plain City, OH R+24
- Arnold, OH R+34
- Shawnee Hills, OH R+5
- Watkins, OH R+45
- Dublin, OH D+15
- Jerome, OH R+46
- Unionville Center, OH R+47
- Powell, OH Even
- Amlin, OH Even
- Ostrander, OH R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Santeetlah, NC R+61
- Muldoon, TX R+68
- Munterville, IA R+53
- Manorville, PA R+45
- Shanghai Corners, MI R+40
- Stampley, MS D+61
- Richlawn, KY D+23
- Sturkie, AR R+69
- Forest Chapel, TX R+80
- Malcolm, AL D+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.