Fort Barnwell leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Fort Barnwell typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fort Barnwell, ~38% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~1% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fort Barnwell compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fort Barnwell leans more Republican than 23 of 60 neighbors.
Fort Barnwell runs about 20 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Why Fort Barnwell leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fort Barnwell, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Fort Barnwell live in densely developed areas, about 22 points below the North Carolina average of 27%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Fort Barnwell sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 85% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Fort Barnwell, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Fort Barnwell looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Fort Barnwell own their home, about 20 points above the North Carolina average of 74%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Maplecypress, NC R+33
- Dover, NC R+27
- Quinerly, NC R+23
- Cove City, NC R+27
- Grifton, NC R+6
- Clayroot, NC R+30
- Graingers, NC R+16
- Vanceboro, NC R+33
- Wise Forks, NC R+40
- Sassers Mill, NC R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Buffalo, PA R+45
- Coatsburg, IL R+69
- Lancaster, FL R+67
- Faith, SD R+76
- Latham, IL R+56
- Sunnyslope, ID R+47
- Nevins, IL R+59
- Smileyville, KS R+58
- Santa Claus, GA R+46
- Marshview, PA R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.