Fredericktown leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 98% of adults in Fredericktown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fredericktown, ~32% vote Democratic, ~66% Republican, and ~2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fredericktown compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fredericktown leans more Republican than 70 of 220 neighbors.
Fredericktown runs about 31 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Fredericktown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fredericktown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fredericktown votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, above 83% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Fredericktown, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fredericktown looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Fredericktown have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Millsboro, PA R+35
- La Belle, PA D+27
- Vestaburg, PA R+30
- Deemston, PA R+47
- Pitt Gas, PA R+42
- Clarksville, PA R+41
- Crucible, PA R+43
- Rices Landing, PA R+41
- Brownsville, PA R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Carrville, AL R+48
- Brownsville, MN R+22
- Duncan, NE R+67
- Woonsocket, SD R+57
- Atwood, CO R+66
- Cerro Gordo, NC R+50
- South Madison, OH R+42
- Lakeport, TX D+27
- Huckabay, TX R+77
- Friars Point, MS D+67
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.