Gerrish leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 77% of adults in Gerrish typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gerrish, ~32% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gerrish compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gerrish leans more Republican than 75 of 96 neighbors.
Gerrish runs about 18 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole. New Hampshire is roughly evenly split, and Gerrish sits clearly on the Republican side.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gerrish. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Gerrish leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gerrish, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gerrish votes against the grain of New Hampshire. New Hampshire is roughly evenly split, while Gerrish runs about 18 points more Republican.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Gerrish, NH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Gerrish looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Gerrish is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Newbury, NH R+19
- Northfield, NH R+19
- Salisbury, NH R+10
- Canterbury, NH D+8
- Franklin, NH R+9
- Salisbury Heights, NH R+9
- Webster Lake, NH R+14
- Tilton, NH R+11
- Pearls Corner, NH Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Everton, AR R+68
- Flintstone, MD R+67
- Rolling Hills, WY R+69
- Blanket, TX R+78
- Canal Point, FL D+19
- Buffalo, OK R+78
- Shirley Center, MA D+9
- Brownsville, CA R+23
- Kensington, OH R+61
- Xenia, IL R+73
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.