Northfield leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 74% of adults in Northfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northfield, ~30% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Northfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Northfield leans more Republican than 91 of 100 neighbors.
Northfield runs about 22 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole. New Hampshire is roughly evenly split, and Northfield sits clearly on the Republican side.
Why Northfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Northfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 79% of households in Northfield are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Northfield fits that profile on both counts. Northfield runs against the grain of New Hampshire, a Republican-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; Northfield, NH sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Northfield looks the way it does
Turnout in Northfield sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Franklin, NH R+9
- Tilton, NH R+11
- Gerrish, NH R+15
- Webster Lake, NH R+14
- Canterbury, NH D+8
- Salisbury, NH R+10
- Lochmere, NH R+8
- Gardners Grove, NH R+30
- South Newbury, NH R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Randolph, VT D+11
- Etter, TX R+65
- Blakeley, MN R+49
- College City, AR R+73
- Mount Healthy, IN R+58
- New Liberty, KY R+64
- New Haven, OH R+53
- New Prospect, TX R+74
- South Mountain, PA R+62
- Bayview, TX R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.