Graf leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Graf typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Graf, ~32% vote Democratic, ~69% Republican, and ~-1% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Graf compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Graf leans more Republican than 17 of 60 neighbors.
Graf runs about 23 points more Republican than Iowa as a whole.
Why Graf leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Graf, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in Graf drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Graf are family households, above 92% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Graf, IA sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Graf looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Graf is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Graf own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Graf have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Centralia, IA R+37
- Peosta, IA R+35
- Epworth, IA R+36
- Durango, IA R+35
- Asbury, IA R+18
- Rickardsville, IA R+42
- Holy Cross, IA R+44
- Farley, IA R+39
- Sherrill, IA R+41
- Dubuque, IA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- McCracken, KS R+65
- Norfield, MS R+77
- Harris, OK R+48
- Steinauer, NE R+62
- Swannsylvania, TN R+64
- Craig, MO R+66
- Walters, MN R+45
- Circle, TX R+66
- Parkdale, AR R+47
- Morgans Point, TX R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.