Asbury leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Asbury typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Asbury, ~43% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~-4% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Asbury compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Asbury leans more Republican than 7 of 60 neighbors.
Asbury runs about 5 points more Republican than Iowa as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Asbury. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Asbury leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Asbury, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Asbury votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 51%, far above the Iowa average of 16%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Asbury are family households, above 89% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Asbury, IA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Asbury looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Asbury is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Asbury own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Asbury have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Durango, IA R+35
- Dubuque, IA Even
- Sageville, IA R+31
- Centralia, IA R+37
- Peosta, IA R+35
- Graf, IA R+36
- Sherrill, IA R+41
- East Dubuque, IL R+22
- Rickardsville, IA R+42
- Epworth, IA R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oak Park Heights, MN D+16
- Buena Vista, MI D+75
- Hinton, OK R+64
- Mount Ephraim, NJ Even
- West Clarkston-Highland, WA R+29
- Windcrest, TX D+4
- Annandale, MN R+34
- West Newton, PA R+33
- Cherokee, IA R+36
- Northfield, VT D+2
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.