Graham is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Graham typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Graham, ~12% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Graham compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Graham leans more Republican than 38 of 41 neighbors.
Graham runs about 49 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Graham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Graham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Graham, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Graham sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 76% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Graham, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Graham looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Graham have completed high school, about 6 points above the Missouri average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Maitland, MO R+66
- Pumpkin Center, MO R+68
- Skidmore, MO R+66
- Quitman, MO R+66
- New Point, MO R+66
- Barnard, MO R+60
- Bolckow, MO R+61
- Mound City, MO R+55
- Fillmore, MO R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sharon, KS R+77
- Coopers Mills, ME R+29
- Pecks Run, WV R+64
- Broomes Island, MD R+25
- Pemaquid, ME D+21
- Crestline, KS R+63
- Lynn Creek, MS D+22
- Norwood, KY D+18
- Calvary, GA R+38
- Protem, MO R+70
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.