Barnard is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Barnard typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Barnard, ~13% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Barnard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Barnard leans more Republican than 17 of 46 neighbors.
Barnard runs about 42 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Barnard. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+58), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Barnard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Barnard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Barnard sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 10 points above the Missouri average of 87%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Barnard, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Barnard looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Barnard have completed high school, about 8 points above the Missouri average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pumpkin Center, MO R+68
- Bolckow, MO R+61
- Guilford, MO R+58
- Cawood, MO R+61
- Conception, MO R+58
- Conception Junction, MO R+57
- Rosendale, MO R+58
- Rea, MO R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cherry, IL R+42
- Trinity Center, CA R+28
- Chloride, AZ R+44
- Pinkstaff, IL R+60
- Coleman, GA R+9
- Ronneby, MN R+59
- New Town, NC R+13
- Pick City, ND R+63
- New Troy, MI R+40
- Edmund, WI D+12
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.