Grant County leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Grant County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grant County, ~20% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grant County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Grant County leans more Republican than 4 of 9 neighbors.
Grant County runs about 40 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Grant County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Grant County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Grant County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grant County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Grant County votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Grant County runs about 40 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Grant County is about 92%, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 72%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Grant County, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Grant County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Grant County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 78% of counties. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 95% of adults in Grant County have completed high school, above 90% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Stevens County, MN R+37
- Douglas County, MN R+36
- Pope County, MN R+38
- Otter Tail County, MN R+35
- Traverse County, MN R+42
- Wilkin County, MN R+39
- Richland County, ND R+38
- Big Stone County, MN R+33
- Swift County, MN R+35
- Todd County, MN R+50
Counties with Similar Populations
- Reynolds County, MO R+67
- Shelby County, MO R+65
- Clay County, NE R+64
- Menifee County, KY R+64
- Presidio County, TX D+4
- Greenwood County, KS R+61
- Iron County, WI R+27
- Pendleton County, WV R+61
- Miller County, GA R+44
- Sullivan County, MO R+56
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.