Reynolds County is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Reynolds County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Reynolds County, ~11% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Reynolds County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Reynolds County leans more Republican than 6 of 10 neighbors.
Reynolds County runs about 49 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Reynolds County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Reynolds County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in Reynolds County hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points below the Missouri average of 22%. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Reynolds County is about 91%, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 72%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Reynolds County, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Reynolds County looks the way it does
Turnout in Reynolds County sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Iron County, MO R+60
- Carter County, MO R+71
- Wayne County, MO R+68
- Shannon County, MO R+68
- Dent County, MO R+65
- Madison County, MO R+63
- St. Francois County, MO R+48
- Washington County, MO R+63
- Ripley County, MO R+70
- Butler County, MO R+52
Counties with Similar Populations
- Shelby County, MO R+65
- Clay County, NE R+64
- Menifee County, KY R+64
- Grant County, MN R+36
- Presidio County, TX D+4
- Iron County, WI R+27
- Pendleton County, WV R+61
- Gentry County, MO R+63
- Hamlin County, SD R+64
- Van Buren County, TN R+71
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.