Grape Creek is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Grape Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grape Creek, ~9% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grape Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grape Creek leans more Republican than 4 of 14 neighbors.
Grape Creek runs about 58 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Grape Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grape Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Grape Creek drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Grape Creek sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 76% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Grape Creek, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Grape Creek looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Grape Creek is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orient, TX R+74
- Harriet, TX R+74
- Carlsbad, TX R+76
- San Angelo, TX R+36
- Water Valley, TX R+76
- Goodfellow Afb, TX R+25
- Veribest, TX R+69
- Tankersley, TX R+77
- Tennyson, TX R+77
- Miles, TX R+79
Cities with Similar Populations
- Osseo, MN D+8
- New Paris, OH R+59
- Virden, IL R+39
- West Juneau, AK D+39
- Como, MS D+31
- Mechanicsburg, OH R+54
- Pierceton, IN R+54
- St. Johnsville, NY R+41
- Pleasant Hills, MD R+17
- Janesville, MN R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.