Grapeland leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 39% of adults in Grapeland typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grapeland, ~26% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grapeland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grapeland leans more Democratic than 41 of 59 neighbors.
Grapeland runs about 57 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Grapeland is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grapeland. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+37) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 71 points.
Why Grapeland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grapeland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 53% of residents in Grapeland are Black or African American, about 17 points above the Mississippi average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in Grapeland have never been married, above 96% of cities. Grapeland runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Grapeland, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Grapeland looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Grapeland is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 5%, about 55 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 39% of adults in Grapeland report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Grapeland sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Benoit, MS D+29
- Scott, MS R+21
- Longshot, MS R+22
- Bolivar, MS D+10
- Priscilla, MS D+19
- Metcalfe, MS D+76
Cities with Similar Populations
- Romero, TX R+87
- Brasfield, AR R+77
- Morses Line, VT R+44
- Macatawa, MI R+7
- Madero, TX R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.