Greenleaf leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Greenleaf typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Greenleaf, ~26% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Greenleaf compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Greenleaf leans more Republican than 22 of 31 neighbors.
Greenleaf runs about 31 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Greenleaf is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Greenleaf leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Greenleaf, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Greenleaf live in densely developed areas, about 29 points below the Oregon average of 31%. Greenleaf runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Greenleaf, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Greenleaf looks the way it does
Turnout in Greenleaf sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Deadwood, OR R+16
- Tide, OR R+16
- Walton, OR R+22
- Swisshome, OR R+19
- Blachly, OR R+16
- Mapleton, OR R+18
- Noti, OR R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Leggett, TX R+60
- Fairford, AL R+40
- Quinlan, OK R+77
- Harvey, AR R+73
- Malaga, OH R+67
- McPherron, PA R+68
- Litomysl, MN R+47
- New Boston, PA R+48
- Chinese Camp, CA R+49
- Richohoc, LA R+19
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.