Tide, OR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Tide

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Tide leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.

 

About 59% of adults in Tide typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tide, ~25% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Tide compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Tide leans more Republican than 20 of 27 neighbors.

Tide runs about 31 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Tide is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tide. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 38 points.

Why Tide leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tide, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Tide live in densely developed areas, about 30 points below the Oregon average of 31%. Tide runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Tide, OR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Tide looks the way it does

Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 86% of adults in Tide have completed high school, below 75% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.