Greenville, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Greenville

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Greenville leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.

 

About 70% of adults in Greenville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Greenville, ~27% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Greenville compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Greenville leans more Republican than 10 of 25 neighbors.

Greenville runs about 11 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Greenville. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+45) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+62), a spread of about 108 points.

Why Greenville leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Greenville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Greenville hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the Florida average of 31%.

Developed land, local retail density, and voter turnout

Places that combine a rural land-use pattern and dense local retail within a mile tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Greenville, FL does.

Why turnout in Greenville looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Greenville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.